Weather - Forecast

Jun 23, 2014 12:30 AM by John Dissauer

Stormy Next 48 Hours

Update 10:28pm:  There is just one lingering shower over eastern Baca County, otherwise things have dried out across southern Colorado.  I can't rule out a stray shower overnight.  Still expecting showers and thunderstorms to redevelop Monday afternoon.  Likely moving through the Pikes Peak region around 1pm/2pm.  - Meteorologist John Dissauer

Update 6:36pm:  Showers and thunderstorms continue to move through the southeastern Plains of Colorado.  The main threat as we get further in to the evening will be heavy rain and gusty winds.  A Severe Thunderstorm watch continues until 9pm MT Sunday for counties along I-25 and east to the Kansas border.

Overnight things should begin to calm down, although I can't completely rule out the chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm.  Temperatures should drop to the 50°s by morning.

Expect much of the same Monday.  We will start out with sunshine.  Clouds begin to develop late morning and thunderstorms start to pop around noon over the eastern mountains.  Some of the storms that form tomorrow could become strong/severe.  The main threat Monday will be large hail, damaging wind and heavy rain.

Temperatures should be held down a little due to the increased cloud cover.  Highs should be in the 70°s and 80°s.  - Meteorologist John Dissauer

Update 5:47am: Sunshine across the area this morning will allow temperatures to quickly rise.  High temperatures will be in the middle 70°s to lower 90°s.  By late morning clouds will redevelop along the mountains and spread to the east turning skies partly sunny by mid/late afternoon.

We will likely see another round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.  I am expecting a few showers and thunderstorms to initially develop along the mountains, just west of the I-25 corridor, around noon.  These will spread east through early afternoon and eventually reach the eastern Plains of Colorado by late afternoon.  I am going to keep a chance of rain in the forecast through midnight and it isn't out of the question we could have an isolated shower past midnight.

The Storm Prediction Center is indicating there is a "Slight Risk" for severe weather, mainly east of I-25, this afternoon and evening.  The main threat appears to be damaging wind and large hail from any thunderstorm.  There is also a small chance for a tornado, mainly over the eastern Plains.

STORMY PATTERN

Computer models are advertising we will be moving in to an unsettled period for the next 72 hours.  We will have almost daily chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Some of the thunderstorms could be strong, both Sunday and Monday.

The atmosphere appears to be moistening up.  This means if you get caught under one of the storms, you could encounter heavy downpours.  When this sets up, we have to keep a close eye on the burn scars across the area.  Any thunderstorm passing over a burn scar producing a heavy rainfall rate could create a flash flooding concern.

Computer models are being rather aggressive with suggested rainfall totals through the next week.  A two computer model average suggests 0.83" for Colorado Springs and 0.70" for Pueblo through 6pm Saturday.  - Meteorologist John Dissauer

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